Gambler's fallacy
Yeh maanna ki pichhle spins agle spin ke odds badal dete hain. Aisa nahi hota: spins independent hain.
Sandarbh mein
Das redsbetRed18 red numbers par even-money bet. French mein: rouge.Poora padhein → ke baad bhi blackbetBlack18 black numbers par even-money bet. French mein: noir.Poora padhein → 18/37 hi hai. Long-run average tak pahunchna dilution se hota hai, correction se nahi.
18 August 1913 ko Monte Carlo mein black lagatar 26 baar aaya. Lagbhag pandrahvein black se players red par bet lagakar laakhon francs haar gaye, har spin pichhle se “zyada pakka” lag raha tha. Isi liye is fallacy ko Monte Carlo fallacy bhi kehte hain.